Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...
If the FDA follows through with the proposed guidelines, and they are not fatally twisted by pressure from the medical establishment and health care industry, it should bring fresh air and sunlight ...
Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...
Bets on the fall of Venezuela's Nicolas Maduro have shed light on the spectacular rise of prediction markets: portals where ...
Right now, molecules in the air are moving around you in chaotic and unpredictable ways. To make sense of such systems, physicists use a law known as the Boltzmann distribution, which, rather than ...
Sports betting in Texas is not yet legalized, but this article will detail how you can still bet on Seahawks vs. Patriots in ...
Real-world data (RWD) is transforming clinical research, augmenting existing randomized controlled trial (RCT) data to de-risk studies and improve generalizability. With regulators setting clearer ...
Opinion
Jacobin on MSNOpinion

Gambling on the wisdom of crowds is a bad bet

In the run-up to the 2024 US presidential election, Donald Trump cited political prediction markets (PPMs) as evidence that he would defeat Kamala Harris and return to the White House: “A gambling ...
There is substantial evidence supporting the effectiveness of longer-term treatments for individuals with personality disorder, and particularly borderline personality disorder.1 Yet, there is a ...
A gene expression program executed by neutrophils and a corresponding biomarker support tumor progression across human and murine tumors.
Gout is a type of inflammatory arthritis affecting millions of adults in the United States. In this study, Mass General Brigham researchers investigated the benefits of sodium–glucose cotransporter 2 ...